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High Probability Swing Trading Strategies

moving average

Because of the nature of swing trading for looking at swing highs and swing lows, it is more than possible for swing traders to find them during the day. Those of you trading the markets amid this Coronavirus pandemic know how serious overnight risk is right now, on both the long and short side. A swing trader is basically powerless to mitigating the effects of overnight risk, at least in individual stocks. Day traders can swiftly flatten their position at any time. Swing trading is generally defined as a short-term trade lasting longer than one day and less than a month.


Look for the 38.2% and 61.8% Fib https://topforexnews.org/s as potential retracement levels for the price. The reason why we take profit here is quite easy to understand. We want to book the profits at the early sign the market is ready to roll over. And then on both sides of these simple moving averages are plotted two other moving averages at a distance of 2 standard deviations away from the central moving average. The last three closes of the VIX have been at least 5% over the 10-day moving average. Enter when the market is above its 200-day moving average and performs a new 7 day low.

Which financial instruments are the best for swing trading?

Assets such as oil and gold tend to trend strongly during certain periods, and swing traders can take advantage of these opportunities to earn huge profits. In terms of day trading specifically, you’ll need to familiarize yourself with proper technical analysis techniques. You should know which technical indicator setup works best under specific timeframes.

This simple swing analysis can be used together with Price Action patterns and support and resistance zones for more comprehensive and profitable trading. Swing trading refers to the medium-term trading style that is used by forex traders who try to profit from price swings. By following the advice above, you’ll be well on your way to earning quick and easy profits in the stock market.

These levels perfectly illustrate how supply and demand forces play out in the market to determine the price of financial assets. Exposure To Overnight And Weekend Price ‘Surprises’ – Swing trades are typically held overnight or over the weekend. This exposes traders to risks, such as price gaps or impactful news and events that may happen during after-hours or weekends.


Stops will then be placed just above the resistance area, with profit targets near the support area. It’ll ease your swing strategy by offering you the best tools for trading. Apart from the fast market execution times, you get to enjoy an array of technical indicators to help you make all the analyses. With this article, you’re on your way to becoming an excellent swing trader. All that remains now is for you to pick a CFD broker that’ll give you not only all the instruments to use with your swing strategies but the fast market executions.

Get Started With Our Simple Swing Trading Strategy

Bcoz you hold humanity but where as western world trying to make money from every thing by selling what they know. You’ll wait for the candle to close first before placing a trade. Thank you Rayner for your uncountable number of very educational posts.

  • Sometimes, though, a stock’s price goes stagnant – and never ends up triggering one of your orders.
  • Instead of entering when the RSI goes below 10, wait for it to start going up again.
  • During this period, geopolitical developments and high-impact economic news could significantly impact the asset’s price.
  • The swing trading strategy requires patience and calmness because there will be numerous intraday price fluctuations as the trade plays out.
  • In most cases, they simply set their profit and stop loss targets and only monitor them occasionally.

https://forex-trend.net/ and resistance lines represent the cornerstone of technical analysis and you can build a successful stock swing trading strategy around them. Before we go on to showing you how you could trade mean reversion in a swing trading strategy, let’s have a look at the other major category of swing trading strategies. Basically, swing trading is a style that attempts to forecast an impending price move in the market and aims to capture huge chunks of profits if that move happens. Swing traders implement a variety of strategies in the market.

Forex Swing Trading

Their trades never remain open overnight, and, in most cases, trades will last only a few minutes or seconds. And if the first strategy wasn’t exactly your cup of tea, you could give a try to this other strategy. The “Catch the Wave” swing strategy focuses on catching parts or “swings” in a trending market, like a surfer on a beach waiting to catch the wave. The trader can set the Stop-Loss below the latest rejection candle and place a Profit Target or a Take-Profit order at the resistance of the range. It is important to remember that every trading style has its pros and cons, and it is up to you the trader, which one you will choose. Since trades usually have larger targets, spreads won’t have as much of an impact on your overall profits.

Our team at Trading Strategy Guides has already written about other swing trading strategies that work. Read the Harmonic Pattern Trading Strategy – Easy Step By Step Guide or the MACD Trend Following Strategy- Simple to Learn Trading Strategy. These are some of the most popular strategies ever posted at Trading Strategy Guides. Earning calendars will help you factor in sudden price movements to your swing trading strategies.

I follow yours https://en.forexbrokerslist.site/ rules and make some adjustment break event stop and trailing stop. It work very good to me and see my account blooming makes me confident to use this strategy for all my trade.. Of couse i cant win all trade, but when i loss i loss only 1R and when im in profit i can take as much as 3R max..


Stocks usually have psychological price areas that are actively targeted by investors. Traders can ride a trend when the price is moving in a particular direction, and later take opposite trades when there is a reversal in the market. Events such as earnings reports and other company news also provide lucrative swing trading opportunities for investors. And join the many swing traders that are profitable, good luck with your swing trading strategies. After reading this guide you will become learn exactly how to identify swing trading opportunities with great accuracy with this simple swing trading strategy.

What is confluence and how it impacts your trading

However, when taking a trade, you should still consider if the profit potential is likely to outweigh the risk. You now know that conditions are favorable for a trade, as well as where the entry point and stop loss will go. Some traders like to buy on new highs after the price has ranged or pulled back. In this case, a trade trigger could be when the price rallies above the $122 resistance area in August. If your reason for trading is present, you still need a precise event that tells you now is the time to trade.

Channel trading

And of course, SELL trade opportunities look exactly the same only from the opposite direction. You can’t spend a couple of hours every day analyzing the markets. You are willing to take fewer trades but more careful to make sure your trades are very good setups.

Lower Time Commitment – Compared to day trading, swing trading demands a reduced time commitment. Because they primarily utilise technical analysis, swing traders are only required to watch their charts on daily or 4-hour timeframes. They do not need to watch their charts all day or monitor price action on smaller chart timeframes. Swing trading is, therefore, very accommodative even for traders who have daytime job commitments. The last benefit of using a simple swing trading strategy is that you won’t need to be glued to the screen for the whole day like with day trading strategies. A swing trading plan will work in all markets starting from stocks, commodities, Forex currencies, and much more.

I have been trading stocks for five years, many up and downs, looking what can works, and realize it all comes down to the 7 points u mentioned. If you’re doing any of the above, then it will be difficult to identify high probability trading setups. Now, may I ask your opinion about the trading idea that I’m developing, specifically on Trailing Stop Loss technique.

Cup And Handle Chart Pattern


The entire electric vehicle sector was going crazy that week. Self-sufficient traders know and use ALL the information at their disposal. The easiest way to describe it is that it looks like a teacup turned upside down. It’s not textbook cup and handle, but the pattern is still obvious. Call me crazy, but actually using the technicals right in front of my face makes far more sense than applying some universal profit target system. The breakout should produce significant volume and price expansion.


The pattern is confirmed when the price action breaks out of the handle. The reason is that we are dealing with a bearish cup and handle price pattern. You don’t have to exit the trade when the price action is moving in your favor, showing the potential of adding more profit to your trade. This acted as a confirmation of the bearish cup and handle formation. After the formation of the cup, the price action made a bullish move.

We’re also a community of traders that support each other on our daily trading journey. The buy point occurs when the asset breaks out or moves upward through the old point of resistance . 1.Study based on one Chart Patterns sometimes gives false signals and proved to be very dangerous. Therefore its always advisable to incorporate other technical study like Volume, RSI etc for reconfirmation.

A double bottom pattern is a technical analysis charting pattern that characterizes a major change in a market trend, from down to up. A bull is an investor who invests in a security expecting the price will rise. Discover what bullish investors look for in stocks and other assets.

Any who, as the https://forex-world.net/ approaches the creek or top of resistance, the stock will have a minor pullback, thus creating the handle. Once this pullback or handle is complete, we are off to the races. Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 CVXUSDT is another altcoin with massive upside potential. Infact, after consolidating for such an extended period, a parabolic move to the upside is very possible. In the chart, I’ve pointed out 3 take profit zones based on candle wicks , but you can always add more TP points… The double bottom is another pattern that repeats in every market cycle.

To improve the odds of the pattern resulting in an actual reversal, look for the downside price waves to get smaller heading into the cup and handle. You’ve identified a cup and handle pattern, but before you jump into the trade, you must wait for a handle to form completely. The handle often takes the form of a sideways or descending channel or a triangle pattern.

Entering a Cup and Handle Trade

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These trading tools can help them understand price moves, price breaks, price trends, and the overall market beliefs of the bulls and bears before entering a trade. Let’s consider the market mechanics of a typical cup and handle scenario. New buyers enter the pullback at the 38.6% or 50% retracement level, expecting the prior uptrend to resume.

Considering the obvious limitations, investing decisions based simply on the Cup and Handle chart is not always accurate. Hence, traders need to overcome this and reach better results by combining it with some other technical analysis tools. It was developed by William O’Neil and introduced in his 1988 book, How to Make Money in Stocks. A V-bottom, where the price drops and then sharply rallies, may also form a cup.

The cup and handle pattern is a common method you can use to analyse the trend of assets. You can use it to analyse stocks, currencies, bonds, commodities, and index funds among others. The cup and handle pattern is called so because of its appearance. When looked at closely, it looks like a cup with a handle.


Sometimes, the handle may appear to trend downward into a flag or pennant; others, it may simply retrace.. One of the biggest mistakes when trading Cup and handle patterns is not being patient enough to wait until the handle has formed. And so traders end up buying too early without confirming if the current trend will continue upwards. Remember, the handle shouldn’t pull back more than 2/3 of the cup’s height.

Popular with traders

Since this is on the weekly scale, the price chart appears narrower than usual, but price rounds downward forming a cup with the right cup lip at B. The handle lasts a few weeks before price begins moving up. There are several ways to approach trading the cup and handle, but the most basic is to look for entering a long position. The image below depicts a classic cup and handle formation.

RHI didn’t have enough gas in the tank and fell back into the cloud. Nevertheless, notice how once the handle completed and the stock sky rocketed off, the area around the cloud acted as support prior to the move up. DXY upward movement continues In the cup handle formation, the targets are determined according to the fibonacci. Like many big-buzz IPO stocks, Meta Platforms, then known as Facebook, got off to a rocky start following its May 2012 market debut. But the social media giant bolted out of a double bottom in July 2013 as its earnings growth rebounded.

  • The selloff is not usually so steep because it is coming mostly from profit taking; hence, the price gradually declines and consolidates over a period of time.
  • This method is less aggressive, but the patience of additional confirmation can shield against a false breakout with regards to the handle channel.
  • There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle’s resistance.
  • It could go up a bit, drop at the next candle, or move sideways.
  • The price drop in a proper handle should be within 12% of its peak.

The bearish takeover sent the price down around 40.18% to the $3.0 level. However, on New Year’s Eve, bulls found a U-turn and used it to change the fate of GT investors. Every trading session since then has been defined by bulls putting in the work to regain all the ground lost in the last two months of 2022. Handles are relevant to all financial markets, but mean different things depending on the asset. When it comes to trading, the term “handle” has two meanings, depending on which market you are… The Keltner Channel or KC is a technical indicator that consists of volatility-based bands set above and below a moving average.

Cup and Handle Trading Guide

The pullback is ideally less than or equivalent to 1/3rd of the prior advance. It marks a slightly downward or sideways price movement and then an uptrend that pushes past the resistance level causing a breakout. A cup and handle pattern is a technical chart pattern signalling a bullish continuation in a security’s price movement. It is a prediction that the security’s price will move upward following a breakout. First described by William O’Neil in his book ‘How to Make Money in Stocks’ in 1988, the formation of this chart pattern depicts a good buying opportunity. Akamai Technologies, Inc. consolidated below $62 after pulling back to major support at the 200-day exponential moving average .

The rest of the process is the same when https://bigbostrade.com/ the cup and handle pattern. The handle formation should only be the top half of the cup formation or less. For the best signal, handle patterns should only be 30% to 50% of the rise at the end of the cup pattern. Finally, you can use a buy-stop trade to take advantage of a bullish trend.

handle chart patterns

If the price drops too close to the cup’s bottom, it may be a sign that another pullback might be around the corner. The Cup and Handle pattern is a technical indicator that traders use to identify whether the price of a traded security will continue its upward movement. As the name suggests, the chart pattern is shaped like a teacup with a dainty handle when looked at closely. For instance, a perfect cup pattern has equal highs on both ends . An important thing to remember is that the handle forms on the right side of the cup. It signifies a pullback before the breakout in the stock price.

The one thing to point out is that on the breakout, the stock used a lot of gas just to work its way through the cloud. By the time the stock closed outside of the Ichimoku cloud, it was apparent that the stock’s tank was empty. What if there was another way to set your target, which can account for the specific pattern you are trading? To simply apply the same price target logic to every stock formation in the market sounds a bit off, when you think about it. Now that we have covered a short introduction to the cup and handle pattern, let’s walk through a few day trading strategies that can separate you from the crowd. As you can see from the above example, the cup is really a rounding of price action near a series of lows.

It should also be applied right from the point of momentum breakout. The second target should be located at a distance that is equal to the size of the cup. Note that you should begin to measure the distance right from the breakout point.

In most cases, the decline from the hhttps://forexarticles.net/h to the low of the handle shouldn’t exceed 8%–12%. If it does, it shouldn’t exceed the previous drop within the cup. The cup is formed by a bearish direction that gradually changes direction. So, you can watch the price action clues so as to extend your gains from the trade.

• The pattern resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a “u” and the handle has a slight downward drift. A dull market consists of low trading volumes and tight daily trading ranges. The next pullback carves out a rounding bottom no deeper than the 50% retracement of the prior trend. The security posts a significant high in an uptrend that accelerated between one and three months prior. As you can see below, the price of gold has been on a bullish trend for years.

At the same time, placing the stop loss close to the entry point means there’s much room for the position to grow when the price rises as expected. The volume of trade should move along with the price of the stock. As the base of the cup forms, the volume should remain lower than the average.

AxiTrader Review: Pros, Cons, and Verdict

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Axi affiliate program review

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On the plus side, the availability of the AxiOne trading platform is something unique that could be a decisive factor to satisfy more tech-savvy potential customers. Thanks to a service that’s trusted by more than 30,000 traders in over 100 countries, Axi total monthly client trading volume exceeds US$100 billion which puts Axi amongst the top ten global FX providers. Axi customers can take advantage of a diverse range of products, since the company offers axitrader review trading not only in Forex, but also in precious metals, futures CFDs, indices CFDs and crypto CFDs. Minimum deposit – Opening a trading account with Axi is very easy, all can be done via the web. Of course, with a zero balance, Axi’s customers will not be able to open any trades. But will enable Axi client’s to have a real feel for the broker’s trading platforms, how the spreads widen on high impact news and for the overall trading conditions.

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